Based on Node-Target Mapping on the TypeScript wiki "es2018" is the right mapping for Node 10, "es2019" is the right mapping for Node 12. It seems that non-LTS versions of Node aren't documented, but given this information I feel like "es2018" is the safest target.
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Answer by Walter Rumsby for TypeScript: What's the "right" `target` for node 11?
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